Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.055228 0.064796 0.075479 0.088283 0.103210 0.120058 0.140517
2025-08-17 0.038897 0.050860 0.065670 0.085333 0.110733 0.142426 0.184975
2025-08-24 0.030412 0.043213 0.060367 0.084986 0.119371 0.165661 0.232701
2025-08-31 0.024557 0.037376 0.055714 0.083777 0.125565 0.185426 0.277657
2025-09-07 0.021112 0.034098 0.053750 0.085528 0.135523 0.211048 0.333733
2025-09-14 0.017897 0.030493 0.050542 0.084611 0.140914 0.230105 0.381988
2025-09-21 0.015134 0.027082 0.047005 0.082432 0.143675 0.244988 0.425092
2025-09-28 0.012856 0.024084 0.043629 0.079881 0.145220 0.257728 0.465841
2025-10-05 0.011683 0.022828 0.043019 0.081949 0.154857 0.285099 0.534946
2025-10-12 0.010498 0.021352 0.041771 0.082617 0.161936 0.308638 0.599896
2025-10-19 0.009442 0.019953 0.040447 0.082903 0.168236 0.331341 0.665865
2025-10-26 0.008635 0.018922 0.039677 0.084125 0.176421 0.358417 0.743340
2025-11-02 0.008024 0.018230 0.039532 0.086678 0.187794 0.393427 0.841768
2025-11-09 0.006980 0.016447 0.036888 0.083653 0.187254 0.404543 0.892929
2025-11-16 0.006296 0.015357 0.035570 0.083289 0.192309 0.427759 0.972438
2025-11-23 0.005638 0.014224 0.033989 0.082099 0.195345 0.446954 1.045477
2025-11-30 0.005255 0.013690 0.033694 0.083815 0.205171 0.482110 1.158450
2025-12-07 0.004751 0.012776 0.032378 0.082916 0.208736 0.503541 1.242417
2025-12-14 0.004237 0.011754 0.030658 0.080780 0.209024 0.517379 1.310078
2025-12-21 0.003766 0.010770 0.028891 0.078279 0.208062 0.528092 1.371417
2025-12-28 0.003563 0.010485 0.028877 0.080307 0.218866 0.568670 1.511965
2026-01-04 0.003315 0.010037 0.028373 0.080961 0.226171 0.601374 1.636417
2026-01-11 0.003075 0.009574 0.027762 0.081242 0.232515 0.632360 1.760164